dpThe ATP Vienna tournament continues with the quarterfinals in Austria. This is a 500-point tournament which is held during the same week as the other ATP 500-point event in Basel. The focus for some of the players in Vienna is the ATP race to Turin. A semifinal, final, or title before next week’s 1,000-point Paris Masters would be very helpful for the players near the cut line. The ATP Finals obviously includes the top eight players in the ATP race for the calendar year’s full tennis season, but with Jannik Sinner being out for the rest of 2026 with an injury, the ninth spot in the race will earn a ticket to Italy for the year-end championship. Now we get to see if one of the race contenders can add hundreds of points at this 2026 ATP Vienna event, or if someone who is lower in the race standings will make a big run and walk away with an unexpected trophy before the tennis season concludes. LWOS has our best bets for four matches. Post your best bets and thoughts in the comments.
ATP Vienna
Tommy Paul – Carlos Alcaraz: 9:00 EST
H2H: 2-7
This ATP Vienna match discussion begins with the fact that Carlos Alcaraz has a substantial head-to-head advantage over Tommy Paul, having won seven of the nine matches the two have played. It’s true that Paul needs this match more than Alcaraz, given that he is trying to make up ground in the ATP race to Turin, but Alcaraz has Paul’s number. Can Paul come through in a match he really needs?
Best Bet to Make
Welcome to our best bet section. You’re going to get a collection of bets to consider, also a confidence level which should guide how much you should invest in this match.
Parlay/hedge options: Paul +4.5 games at 1.73 at @1xbet
Confidence level on a scale of 1-10: 4 – You could bet half a unit on this match.
This ATP Vienna match has to be an Alcaraz play. He has proved too many times that he knows how to beat Tommy Paul. You could go with Paul +4.5 games, but betting on Alcaraz in straights feels slightly safer.
That being said, betting on Alcaraz -1.5 sets is the best bet you can make
Value bet/ the best odds: Alcaraz -1.5 sets at 1.75 at @1xbet
Adrian Mannarino – Daniil Medvedev: 7:30 EST
H2H: 4-5
This ATP Vienna match is the 10th meeting for Adrian Mannarino and Daniil Medvedev. Mannarino has had a much less successful career than Medvedev, but in nine head-to-head meetings, he has won four of nine, which is very respectable. Can Mannarino tie the head-to-head tally? Medvedev is playing great tennis, having won nine of 10 matches.
Best Bet to Make
Parlay/hedge options: Medvedev -1.5 sets at 1.65 at @10bet
Confidence level on a scale of 1-10: 4 – you could bet half a unit on this match.
This ATP Vienna match isn’t an easy one to predict, but Mannarino does have a certain comfort zone against Medvedev. He knows how to play him. Medvedev might win, but Mannarino should keep the match close. Take Mannarino against the game spread.
That being said, betting on Mannarino +4.5 games is the best bet you can make
Value bet/ the best odds: Mannarino +4.5 games at 1.87 at @unibet
Alexander Zverev – Arthur Fery: 11:30 EST
H2H: 1-0
This ATP Vienna match is a rematch of this year’s Wimbledon semifinal in which Alexander Zverev comfortably defeated Arthur Fery. While Zverev has had a great 2026, winning two Majors and being year-end No. 1, Fery has had a great year too, not only making the Wimbledon semifinals but then winning a good number of hardcourt matches in the second half of the season. Fery has done a lot better than many experts have predicted. Now he faces Zverev again. Let’s see what adjustments he is able to make.
Best Bet to Make
Parlay/hedge options: none
Confidence level on a scale of 1-10: 1 – you should not bet on this match.
This ATP Vienna match has terrible prices. You won’t get value for betting on Zverev in straights. You won’t get favorable prices for a lot of game spreads. The most evenly-priced game spread is 4.5 games, and frankly, this match is probably going to be just barely on one side of that number or the other. If you insist on a bet, we’re going to lean to Zverev.
That being said, betting on Zverev -4.5 games is the best bet you can make
Value bet/ the best odds: Zverev -4.5 games at 1.94 @1xbet
Matteo Berrettini – Alex De Minaur: 14:00 EST
H2H: 3-3
This ATP Vienna match pits Matteo Berrettini against Alex De Minaur. Berrettini’s year and career have been interrupted by injuries. De Minaur has had a very disappointing 2026 season, but he is finishing strong, winning eight of his last 10 matches whereas Berrettini is 5-5 in his last 10. They met in Vienna last year. De Minaur won in straights.
Best Bet to Make
Parlay/hedge options: Berrettini +1.5 sets at 1.65 at @betway
Confidence level on a scale of 1-10: 4 – you could bet half a unit on this match.
This ATP Vienna match is such that you could put Berrettini +1.5 sets as a parlay leg but then make your main bet on De Minaur against a very small game spread. De Minaur is playing really well, and better than Berrettini. He should be the pick here.
That being said, betting on De Minaur -1.5 games is the best bet you can make
Value bet/ the best odds: De Minaur -1.5 games at 1.60 @unibet
Main Photo Credit: Geoff Burke-Imagn Images
