dpThe National Hurricane Center (NHC) has identified a new area to watch for potential tropical development in the Atlantic that stretches from the Gulf waters off Florida’s Big Bend across the peninsula and through the coasts of Georgia and South Carolina.
The National Hurricane Center (NHC) has identified a new area to watch for potential tropical development in the Atlantic that stretches from the Gulf waters off Florida’s Big Bend across the peninsula and through the coasts of Georgia and South Carolina.
An area of low pressure is expected to develop over this area through the weekend and the NHC is currently giving it a low chance of tropical development.
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Area to watch for tropical development.
(FOX Weather)
This is the same area the FOX Forecast Center was closely monitoring for potential development earlier this week.
“As of right now, there is no immediate threat or even an area of low pressure to track,” the FOX Forecast Center said.
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“Once an area of low pressure forms, we’ll then have a better handle on the timing and impacts for tropical downpours across Florida and potentially up the Southeast coast.”
(FOX Weather)
The Exclusive FOX Weather Tropical Threat shows a low chance of development, but odds are steadily increasing.
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Regardless of any tropical development, people in northern Florida and other parts of the Southeast will likely see tropical downpours from this system.
A system is considered to be “tropical” when well-organized thunderstorms rotate around a distinct center over warm water.
Historically, most of the tropical systems that develop in July are so-called “homegrown threats” — systems that develop close to the American coastline. Currently, water temperatures remain above average in the Gulf and off the Southeast coast.
FREEPORT, TEXAS – JUNE 17: Floodwater surrounds a neighborhood after Tropical Storm Arthur made landfall on June 17, 2026 in Freeport, Texas. A Tropical Storm Watch has been issued for portions of the northwestern Gulf Coast, stretching from the mid-to-upper Texas coast into Louisiana, as Tropical Storm Arthur brought heavy downpour and flooding. Tropical Storm Arthur becomes the first named storm of the Atlantic hurricane season.
(Photo by Brandon Bell/Getty Images / Getty Images)
Meanwhile, hostile winds, plumes of Saharan dust and average water temperatures are creating hostile conditions for tropical development in the open Atlantic, in what has been a quiet start to the season.
Tropical Storm Arthur, which formed along the Texas coast on June 17, remains the year’s only named storm thus far.
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The next named storm of the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season would be “Bertha.”
FOX Weather is your Hurricane HQ. Check back for updates on this developing story.
